MKG is the Future

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Baseline 2012 Draft Review

PART I – What Just Happened?

The Bobcats stunned the internet Thursday night by selecting Kentucky freshman Michael Kidd-Gilchrist with the second overall pick in the 2012 Draft. For those of us glued to Twitter and Hoopshype, the pick was a surprise because:

  • A. Every media outlet in the universe reported the team was working to trade down.
  • B. Out of all the draft’s top seven prospects, MKG is the least offensively polished – not exactly a perfect fit for the league’s worst offense.
  • C. The team’s only power forward under contract is a guy whose effort was so infuriating last season, he provoked a 68-year old man to pull a reverse Spreewell on him.

So why did Charlotte forego dreams of a sure-fire big man starter at #4 (Thomas Robinson) and another prospect at #24 (Tony Wroten, Perry Jones or Marquis Teague) in order to keep the pick and draft an 18 year old with a broken jump-shot?

PART II – Why It Happened

GM Rich Cho is a smart dude. President Rod Higgins is a smart dude.* They played the Wayne Gretzky by way of Steve Jobs card:

Don’t skate to where the puck is, skate to where it’s going. And judging from last month’s NBA Finals, the puck is going to an UBER-ATHLETIC place in which only the crazy-long, high of energy may roam.

Lebron James. Kevin Durant. Paul George. Luol Deng. Rudy Gay. Iggy. Danny Granger. Chris Bosh. Derrick Rose. John Wall.

Thomas Robinson only covers one of these guys on a good day. MKG can match up with ‘em all.

Robinson is an old-school bruiser who could’ve banged with Charles Barkley or Karl Malone back in the day. Meanwhile, this year’s Finals featured James and Durant playing the bulk of his team’s minutes at the four spot. I like Robinson but there’s no chance he’s checking either of those guys.

By adding Gilchrist to a squad which already includes Gerald Henderson (a near lockdown defender at both guard spots) and Bismack Biyombo (still developing but a defensive juggernaut in the making), the Bobcats have three players who could legitimately challenge for All-Defensive team in the near future.

MKG also fits perfectly with new head coach Mike Dunlap’s philosophy of fitness, effort and easy transition buckets. Good news, coach, MKG isn’t just “fit” he’s “relentless”. No player on the roster has been able to make Gana Diop or Tyrus Thomas feel bad for giving less than a 100% thus far but I think Gilchrist the “Culture-Changer” has a shot.

PART III – “Draft for Talent, Trade for Need”

The team just announced it’s extending qualifying offers to both D.J. Augustin and Derrick Brown. I’d bet on Brown being on the roster in November – he fits the mold described above. Augustin? This seems more like a strategic move – He has value but I‘m not certain he’s in the team’s long-term or even short-term plans – so don’t be surprised to see a sign & trade go down later in the summer.

By not qualifying D.J. White, the front office announced that they’ll be going after another power forward via trade or free agency. Again, considering the new philosophy, they’ll be looking at players who can play both big man positions, run the floor and affect the game defensively. Jason Thompson (RFA) and J.J. Hickson (UFA) will certainly be high on the list. Considering Hickson’s perceived character questions, Thompson seems like an ideal fit. I’m also a fan of Ersan Illyasova but expect his asking price to be far north of what the Bobcats can offer.

Potential sleeper: Toronto’s Jerryd Bayless (RFA) is a big-time paint scorer and could be had via sign & trade (Reggie Williams’ expiring – Raps will need shooters around Jonas Valanciunas); especially if Toronto ends up using all of their cap space on Steve Nash in the next few weeks.

Finally, I would love for the team to invite Iona State PG Scott Machado and/or Georgetown C Henry Sims to camp as undrafted free agents – perhaps their agents could be enticed with the promise of playing time.

PART IV – Better Regardless

Lost in the MKG Draft night confusion was this simple fact: The Bobcats are suddenly better. If a few of the above moves go down, they might even be decent:

  • PG: Kemba Walker/D.J. Augustin (or Jerryd Bayless)/Scott Machado
  • SG: Gerald Henderson/Ben Gordon/Matt Carroll
  • SF: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/Derrick Brown/Jeffrey Taylor
  • PF: Jason Thompson/Tyrus Thomas
  • C: Bismack Biyombo/Byron Mullens/Gana Diop

Not bad at all. Scoring from the guard spots, MKG can slide over and check fours during small-ball lineups. This team doesn’t win 30 games necessarily but is set up very well moving forward especially if Tyrus rebounds from a wacky ’11-’12 campaign and if Byron Mullens rebounds (at all).

Two lottery picks next summer, another $10-15 million in cap space, amnesty provision card in their back pocket and another year of growth for their young players. The Bobcats’ future is bright and that might be the biggest surprise of all.

-ASChin

*anybody who can manage to get Cory Higgins on an NBA roster is crafty to say the least.

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8 Responses to “MKG is the Future”

  1. Dr. E
    June 30, 2012 at 8:52 pm #

    Just a little fantasy rosterbation: what if we could get Ilyasova???

    Starting lineup: Kemba Walker, Gerald Henderson, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Ersan Ilyasova, Bismack Biyombo.

    Key reserves: DJ Augustin (?), Ben Gordon, Jeff Taylor, Tyrus Thomas (?), Byron Mullens.

    Well, OK, the bench needs some more work (Antawn Jamision? Jason Thompson?) but you count on some development from the young guys and add in a few more first round draft picks in the coming years and…

    • ASChin
      July 1, 2012 at 4:24 pm #

      You know I’ve been on the Illyasova bandwagon for a while. Problem is that I think he’ll get $10m per and I’m wary of team signing a guy for that type of money who had one very good season. He is only 25 and would be solid as a stretch four who rebounds – basically a tough Hedo. Would require anmestying Diop. Hmm…

      • spectre
        July 1, 2012 at 6:10 pm #

        Yeah he’s going to be overpaid…plus we don’t want to be too good next season (remember the plan). We have to be careful about adding final pieces when we’re still looking to get our #1.

  2. Sim Diesel
    July 1, 2012 at 4:24 am #

    Dont we potentially have three first round picks next year? Our own, Portlands via Gerald Wallace trade and detroits via Maggette trade?

    I also want Patty Mills for third string pg, mainly cos I’m Australian.

    • ASChin
      July 17, 2012 at 2:33 pm #

      Apologies for the late reply. Yes, there is an off chance the team could have three picks next year IF:
      Charlotte’s selection is outside the top 12 (CHICAGO)
      Portland and Detroit both make the Playoffs.
      I doubt DET is making postseason so look for team to start ’13 draft with just the two picks.

  3. spectre
    July 1, 2012 at 11:56 am #

    ASChin that part 2 was stellar. Nice post.

    • ASChin
      July 1, 2012 at 4:27 pm #

      Many thanks for reading and the kind words.

  4. Jody
    July 1, 2012 at 4:38 pm #

    That was a great sales pitch as usual ASChin. Stay tuned for my upcoming review of the Lady Bobcats auditions brought to you by Steak-umm.

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